La Liga

Athletic Club

19 Sep 2026 15:15

Deportivo Alavés

Prediction:

Athletic Club to win 1.67

View Odds >

Pick your prediction

Athletic ClubDraw Deportivo Alavés

Athletic Club vs Deportivo Alavés Prediction & Betting Tips – 19/09/2026

San Mamés Barria plays host to one of Spanish football's most passionate regional rivalries on 19 September 2026, as Athletic Club welcome Deportivo Alavés in a La Liga fixture that carries weight well beyond the Basque Country. Athletic sit tenth after a turbulent run of three defeats in five, while Alavés arrive in sensational form, perched in second place following their best-ever top-flight opening. With European qualification and pride on the line, this derby promises an absorbing contest between two sides heading in starkly different directions.

Our prediction

X2: Double Chance Draw or Deportivo Alavés

5.50 on Betfred · Confidence Medium

Odds recorded on 17 Sep 2026 at 18:54 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Deportivo Alavés arrive at San Mamés as the surprise package of La Liga, sitting 2nd with a stunning WWDWW run and an average of just 0.5 goals conceded per game. At 5.50, the visitors represent genuine value.

• 2nd in La Liga after seven rounds, their best-ever start to a top-flight season.
• 0.5 goals conceded per game, the stingiest defensive record in the division this term.
• 2.5 goals scored per game, with Ángel Pérez leading La Liga in big chances created (4).
• Won at San Mamés in September 2025, proving they can handle the Basque derby atmosphere away from home.

Athletic Club, currently 10th, face this Basque derby severely depleted. Guruzeta, Vivian, Canales, Yeray Álvarez, and Egiluz are all absent, stripping Edin Terzić's squad of key attacking and defensive options. Their 1.67 odds reflect a genuine vulnerability.

• Five first-team absentees, including striker Guruzeta and centre-backs Vivian and Yeray Álvarez.
• Conceding 1.3 goals per game, with Unai Simón averaging 4.3 saves per match under heavy pressure.
• Last five games read WWLLL chronologically, masking a fragile underlying run beneath recent headline results.

Key point: With Athletic's leaky defence and Alavés averaging 2.5 goals scored per game, backing 1.95 offers a compelling complement to the main draw-or-away prediction.

Our Verdict

The value here sits firmly with the visitors. Alavés, averaging 2.5 goals scored and a miserly 0.5 conceded per match, boast form that dwarfs Athletic's recent output. Despite losing Mikel Rodríguez and Facundo Garcés to long-term injuries, Quique Sánchez Flores's side dismantled Osasuna 5-2 and sit second in the table. Athletic's back-to-back defeats before their Atlético Madrid win raise questions about consistency. The draw or away outcome looks the shrewd pick, with the away win at 5.50 offering genuine appeal. Under 2.5 goals at 1.83 also merits consideration given Alavés's defensive solidity.

Frequently Asked Questions