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World Cup
Norway
23 Jun 2026 01:00
Senegal
Prediction:
Home win 2.20
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Norway vs Senegal Prediction & Betting Tips – 23/06/2026

23 Jun 2026 New York New Jersey Stadium Louis Hecq

Norway and Senegal meet at the New York New Jersey Stadium on 23 June in a Group I fixture that carries significant weight for both sides. The Norwegians, back at a World Cup for the first time in 28 years, sit top of the group after a commanding opening victory. Senegal, by contrast, find themselves in a precarious position following their defeat to France, needing points to keep hopes of reaching the knockout stages alive. With France and Iraq also in the mix, this is a match neither side can afford to let slip.

Our prediction
1: Norway to win
2.20 on Betfred · Confidence Medium
Odds recorded on 22 Jun 2026 at 02:27 · Odds are subject to change

Match Analysis

Norway arrive as Group I leaders after a ruthless 4-1 opening win over Iraq, with Erling Haaland already on the scoresheet twice. At 2.20, Ståle Solbakken's side carry the form and structure of genuine contenders.

  • 57 goals in 51 internationals for Haaland, including a brace on Matchday 1 against Iraq.
  • 8W-0D-0L in World Cup qualifying, scoring 37 goals and conceding just 5.
  • 11 consecutive competitive appearances with a goal for Haaland, an extraordinary scoring run.
  • Unchanged 4-3-3 system with Ryerson and Moller Wolfe both fit and available for selection.

Senegal face elimination pressure after a 3-1 defeat to France on Matchday 1, and off-field turmoil compounds their challenge. At 3.20, Pape Thiaw's squad must overcome internal fractures and a damaging record against European opponents.

  • Three consecutive losses for Senegal against European sides at the World Cup.
  • Reported unpaid bonuses and accommodation complaints signal a deeply fractured camp environment.
  • Coach Pape Thiaw operating without a formal contract, undermining squad unity and tactical authority.

Key point: With both teams needing goals and Norway's qualifying attack averaging over four per game, the 1.95 market offers a compelling complement to the home win prediction.

Form & Statistics: Norway vs Senegal

Norway

Recent form

WDWDL
Wins2/5 (40%)
Draws2/5 (40%)
Losses1/5 (20%)

Season statistics (5)

3Total goals
62%Both teams score
2Goals scored
1Goals conceded

Senegal

Recent form

LDLWW
Wins2/5 (40%)
Draws1/5 (20%)
Losses2/5 (40%)

Season statistics (5)

2.2Total goals
47%Both teams score
1.5Goals scored
0.7Goals conceded

Norway vs Senegal: Head-to-Head

Norway 0 % Draws 0 % Senegal 100 %

Average statistics (recent meetings)

3Total goals
100%Both teams score
2Home goals
1Away goals
100%Over 2.5 goals
0%Under 2.5 goals
Probable lineup

Lineups: Norway vs Senegal

Norway

4-3-3
  1. 1 Orjan Nyland
  2. 2 Julian Ryerson
  3. 3 Kristoffer Ajer
  4. 4 Torbjorn Heggem
  5. 5 David Moller Wolfe
  6. 6 Martin Odegaard
  7. 7 Sander Berge
  8. 8 Fredrik Aursnes
  9. 9 Alexander Sorloth
  10. 10 Erling Haaland
  11. 11 Antonio Nusa
  • Leo Ostigard
  • Kristian Thorstvedt
  • Oscar Bobb
  • Andreas Schjelderup
  • Jorgen Strand Larsen
  • Patrick Berg
  • Egil Selvik
  • Sander Tangvik
  • Marcus Holmgren Pedersen
  • Fredrik Andre Bjorkan
  • Odin Bjortuft
  • Thelo Aasgaard
  • Jens Petter Hauge

Senegal

4-3-3
  1. 1 Edouard Mendy
  2. 2 Krepin Diatta
  3. 3 Kalidou Koulibaly
  4. 4 Moussa Niakhate
  5. 5 El Hadji Malick Diouf
  6. 6 Idrissa Gueye
  7. 7 Pape Gueye
  8. 8 Lamine Camara
  9. 9 Ismaila Sarr
  10. 10 Nicolas Jackson
  11. 11 Sadio Mane
  • Ibrahim Mbaye
  • Habib Diarra
  • Pathe Ciss
  • Iliman Ndiaye
  • Yehvann Diouf
  • Mory Diaw
  • Antoine Mendy
  • Abdoulaye Seck
  • Mamadou Sarr
  • Ismail Jakobs
  • Pape Matar Sarr
  • Bara Ndiaye
  • Assane Diao
  • Bamba Dieng

Medium confidence

A 4-3-3 versus 4-3-3 mirror match shapes up here, with both sides deploying identical structural frameworks. The central battle will likely be decisive: Norway's midfield trio must contain the industry of Idrissa Gueye and Lamine Camara if Martin Odegaard is to find the space to dictate proceedings.

Up front, the contest between Erling Haaland and Kalidou Koulibaly promises to be one of the defining individual duels of the fixture. Senegal's wide threats offer genuine pace on the counter, meaning Norway's full-backs will need to remain disciplined rather than committing too freely to attack.

Odds comparison

BetfredWilliam HillSmarketsMatchbookCoralLadbrokes
Norway to win2.202.252.362.362.752.70
Draw3.503.303.603.652.202.20
Senegal to win3.203.003.153.203.403.40
Under 2.5·1.75··1.831.83
BTTS Yes1.731.75·1.811.731.73

Odds recorded on 22 Jun 2026 at 02:27 · Odds are subject to change

Our Verdict

Norway's superior form and momentum make them the clear pick here. The Scandinavians sit top of Group I with three wins and two draws from their last five, while Senegal have lost three of their previous five outings. Haaland's extraordinary record of 57 goals in 51 internationals gives Norway a cutting edge Koulibaly will struggle to contain. Off-field disruption in the Senegal camp only strengthens the case. A home win at 2.20 represents solid value, and with both sides scoring freely in their openers, 1.73 appeals. Odds and markets subject to change.

Competition: World Cup
Stage: Group Stage, 2
Date: 23 Jun 2026
Time: 01:00 BST
Stadium: New York New Jersey Stadium

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the best bet for Norway vs Senegal?

Norway to win is the standout selection here. Erling Haaland has scored in 11 consecutive competitive appearances, Norway topped Group I after a 4-1 demolition of Iraq, and Senegal arrive in disarray following off-field disputes and a 3-1 defeat to France. With the home side clear favourites, the 2.20 represents compelling value in this World Cup group stage fixture.

What time does Norway vs Senegal kick off?

Norway vs Senegal kicks off at midnight UTC on 23rd June 2026, which corresponds to 8:00 pm Eastern Time on the evening of 22nd June. The match will be staged at the New York New Jersey Stadium, one of the flagship venues for the 2026 World Cup on the eastern seaboard of the United States.

Where can I watch Norway vs Senegal on TV?

Broadcast arrangements for the 2026 World Cup vary by territory and rights deals are still being confirmed across several markets. Supporters are advised to check with their domestic broadcasters, as major free-to-air and subscription sports channels in their respective countries are expected to carry live coverage of all group stage fixtures.

What is Norway's recent record against Senegal?

Norway and Senegal have met rarely at international level, and there is no significant recent head-to-head record between the two sides to draw upon. This World Cup group stage encounter in New York is shaping up to be one of the more consequential meetings in the modest history between these two nations.

Louis Hecq

Louis has been working in the online gambling sector for 3 years. During this time, he has reviewed, compared and analysed many bookmakers in many different countries, and published several hundred betting articles for different sports and betting sites. 

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