Here are are Fantasy Premier League tips ahead of gameweek 11 on the best forwards and defenders to transfer in ahead of the deadline, as well as what to do with Brighton.
FPL Deadline: Saturday, November 4, 11am BST.
Join our FPL league: xugc83
Fantasy Premier League: Three essential FPL tips for GW11
Assessing the best non-Haaland forward options
Ollie Watkins (£8.4m) is certainly on a hot streak at the moment – he has 13 goal involvements (including fantasy assists) from 13 expected goal involvements (xGI) – and the thing about running hot is that it can always go cold at any time. But so far Aston Villa have played like one of the top six attacks in the Premier League and they have Nottingham Forest, Fulham and Bournemouth in their next four games.
Darwin Nunez (£7.5m) looks like he could score in any given game and he may have finally won Jurgen Klopp’s trust. On a per 90 minutes basis, he has more shots, non-penalty xG and FPL points than any other forward. The unfortunate circumstances surrounding Luis Diaz’s absence increase his chances of starting every week, which was previously the biggest concern around buying the Uruguayan. Now is a great time to transfer him in with Luton up next for Liverpool.
— Liverpool FC (@LFC) November 2, 2023
With Alexander Isak out injured, Callum Wilson (£7.8m) looks set to start every game for Newcastle until further notice. The striker is on penalties and has the most big chances per 90 among forwards, while the Magpies lead the way in terms of non-penalty xG per 90 in the Premier League. He has scored in every league game he’s started this season and netted six goals in his last six appearances, while he’s a brilliant differential at just 5.4 percent ownership. The only snag is that their fixtures are a mixed bag until mid-December.
Eddie Nketiah (£5.6m) is set to keep his place in Arsenal’s starting XI following an injury to Gabriel Jesus. Coming off the back of a hat-trick against Sheffield United, he’s an absolute bargain at his current price. The Gunners have Newcastle up next, but they enjoy a nice run of games after this weekend.
Julian Alvarez (£7.2m) is a hold as Man City face Bournemouth in GW11, but it may be time to sell up after that given the team face a tough fixtures run between now and mid-December, plus they blank in GW18.
Cheap defenders to replace Botman and Udogie
With the news that Sven Botman will be out for longer than expected, and Destiny Udogie a doubt as Spurs face into a difficult run of games, many FPL managers are on the lookout for bargain defenders with whom to replace them.
Kostas Tsimikas (£4.6m) has emerged as possibly the best low-priced player in FPL following an injury to Andy Robertson, who is expected to be out for an extended period. The Liverpool full-back already has two clean sheets in his first two starts and they’re due a few more over the next six gameweeks.
Crystal Palace were well beaten by Tottenham and Newcastle the past two weeks, but their defence is still worth investing in; they’re second in the Premier League for clean sheets, shots conceded from set pieces and third for shots on target conceded (as per AllAboutFPL). While many have flocked to Joachim Andersen, Marc Guehi (£4.6m) represents better value, and the Eagles face three of the bottom four over the next five gameweeks.
Gabriel Magalhães (£4.8m) has been a frustrating player to own this season, particularly last weekend when he was dropped for the 5-0 win over Sheffield United. As mentioned earlier, now is not the ideal time to transfer in Arsenal players with Newcastle up next, but the Gunners do have the best non-penalty xG conceded per 90 in the division and have some easy fixtures on the horizon.
Hold Brighton assets
A lot of FPL managers out there still have Brighton players in your team, namely Pervis Estupinan (£5.0m) and Kaoru Mitoma (£6.5m), despite the former being sidelined with a injury and a run of four gameweeks without a return for the latter.
The Seagulls were fantasy manna from heaven last season after Roberto De Zerbi took the reins, but a combination of heavy rotation and congested schedule have dulled their edge this term.
The dilemma, though, for those who would like to sell up after weeks of frustration is that Albion have a great run of fixtures upcoming. They travel to Everton in GW11, which is not a gimme, but the following week they host Sheffield United, easily the worst team in the Premier League. That’s followed by trips to Forest and Chelsea and homes games against Brentford and Burnley.
That is as good a run of fixtures over the next six weeks as you will find in the division, which is enough reason to hold on to any Brighton assets you own right now, provided they are fit.
— Brighton & Hove Albion (@OfficialBHAFC) October 28, 2023
Estupinan, who is expected to be declared fit soon, has the third-best non-penalty expected goal involvements per 90 among defenders in the league. Mitoma is 21st among midfielders in the same metric, but he has more goal involvements and xGI than any of his teammates.
The unpredictability of De Zerbi’s lineup makes it very difficult to buy any Brighton players right now, but that doesn’t mean you should throw the baby out with the bathwater either.