In our latest instalment of the Premier League Over/Under Goal Acca, Adam Smith has done his research on this weekend’s games, and come up with a nice little 14/1 shot. Let’s see how he thinks things are going to play out …
Chelsea v Newcastle – Team A / Over 1.5
The Geordies battled back well against West Brom on Tuesday night to get a draw, and put an end to their four game losing streak. However, Chelsea should be too strong, and with Arsenal and United facing each other later in the day, it is important for the Londoners to get maximum points. They only managed to score once against Swansea on Wednesday, but had 12 shots on target.
Brighton v Liverpool – Over 1.5
Brighton failed to score for only the second time at home this season on Tuesday, and Liverpool are averaging over two goals a game. The Reds may struggle with Brighton’s aerial threat from set-pieces, but three games in a week could be tough on this limited Brighton squad, so Liverpool’s strength in depth could be key.
Everton v Huddersfield – Over 1.5
If results go their way, a win for Everton could see them move up to ninth in the table. Huddersfield have only picked up four points on the road this season, with three of them coming on the opening day of the season against Palace. Similar to Brighton, three games in a week may stretch their squad, so we should see Everton get back-to-back victories for the first time this season, scoring a few along the way.
Leicester v Burnley – Over 1.5
Leicester have only lost once in eight games since Craig Shakesphere was shown the door in October, and have scored in seven of them. Burnley just keep on impressing and are only three points off the Champions League places. Burnley are pretty much safe and can dream of a European spot now, so expect a few goals in this one.
Watford v Spurs – Over 1.5
Watford were disappointing on Tuesday against United; we were looking forward to seeing how Marco Silva’s team would get on against one of the top sides. They still managed to get on the score sheet twice, for the seventh time in eight games. As for Spurs, they are out of the title race and have a battle on their hands now to claim a Champions League spot. Should be a few goals in this one too.
Stoke v Swansea – Team A / Over 0.5
This could be classed as a regulation six-pointer with a third of the season gone by already. However, a win for Stoke at home to a struggling Swansea team could give them a bit of breathing space. Stoke have scored in eleven out of the thirteen games they have played this season, and I expect them to score again on Saturday.
West Brom v Palace – Team A / Over 0.5
The bookies don’t see many goals in this one. The best value I can find is for West Brom to score. Crystal Palace hadn’t kept a clean sheet all season until Tuesday, and to get two clean sheets in a row would be a massive turnaround. Alan Pardew takes charge of the Baggies for the first time, and would love to get his first win against his former club.
Arsenal v Man Utd – Under 3.5
This game will be hyped up all weekend, but Mourinho will arrive at the Emirates on Saturday evening and kill it. We will probably see Fellaini come in to bolster the midfield, with Martial and Rashford expected to hurt Arsenal on the counter. Can’t see four goals being scored in this, and we will probably see Mourinho park the bus.
Bournemouth v Southampton – Team A / Over 0.5
Before losing to Burnley on Wednesday, the Cherries were unbeatin in three without conceding a goal, but still managed to get on the score sheet. Southampton had a good win last weekend against Everton, but that win against a poor Everton side only means their record is one win in five. I fancy the home team to be on the front foot in this south coast derby and open the scoring.
Man City v Everton – Team A / Under 5.5
It’s just the question of how many goals are Man City going to score? Bookies are making it difficult in terms of the odds, so Man City not to score six is the bet here, as I don’t see West Ham scoring.
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