It’s crunch time in the Fantasy Premier League season with time running out to improve rank and climb mini-league tables.
Attempting to claw back deficits during the run-in often requires risk and differentials can be the difference in success and failure. Ahead of Gameweek 33 of the Fantasy Premier League season, we’ve looked at five differentials you could reap the rewards from.
Each of these options are under 10% ownership and could give you the edge.
Ivan Toney – Brentford (9.3%)
Brentford are in line for a crucial run of fixtures as the Bees look to pull clear of relegation trouble. Thomas Frank’s side are just three points above the drop zone after nine games without a win, but have shown signs of improvement in consecutive draws with Manchester United, Brighton and Aston Villa.
After peppering Manchester United with 31 shots on goal, Brentford scored three times in a chaotic draw with Aston Villa last time out. Ivan Toney should be on the radar of FPL bosses for GW33 as Brentford host basement club Sheffield United at the Gtech.
That Ivan Toney assist ???? pic.twitter.com/rAWBQaMmCW
— Brentford FC (@BrentfordFC) March 31, 2024
The Blades have conceded 22 goals in their last seven league games, while Toney has been a prolific shot-taker in recent games. The 28-year-old has had 11 shots inside the box in his last four appearances.
Bryan Mbeuemo – Brentford (6.3%)
A cheaper option (£6.7m) to his Brentford teammate, Bryan Mbeumo is back for the Bees in a timely return.
After missing over three months with an ankle problem, the winger has been eased back into the Brentford team but marked his first start since returning with a goal against Aston Villa last time out. The 24-year-old has now scored eight goals in 16 league starts for the Bees this season, with a further three assists.
Bryan Mbeumo in a Brentford shirt:
— 3 PL seasons
— All 3 seasons with more than 10 G/A pic.twitter.com/0qCBjEsaTp— StatMuse FC (@statmusefc) April 6, 2024
He will hope to increase those hauls when Sheffield United visit west London this weekend, before a favourable – and vital – run of games that will see Brentford face relegation rivals Luton and Everton in the following two gameweeks.
Chris Wood – Nottingham Forest (2.0%)
Chris Wood has quietly impressed at Nottingham Forest this season but remains at just 2.0% ownership in FPL at the time of writing.
The New Zealand international (£4.9m) has scored 12 league goals so far this season, just two short of the career-best 14 Premier League goals he scored for Burnley in 2019/20.
Wood boasts the best minutes-per-goal ratio of any Premier League player to score 8+ goals this season, ahead of Erling Haaland, and also leads those players for conversion rate (44%). Only Phil Foden (73%) has had a higher number of his shots on target than the 32-year-old, whose goals have been crucial in Forest’s fight against relegation.
A goal in each of Chris Wood’s last four matches ⚽️
Forest take on a Wolves side who are without a clean sheet in five ????#FPL pic.twitter.com/82VEKJWBzH
— Fantasy Premier League (@OfficialFPL) April 12, 2024
Forest host Wolves this weekend, a team with just four clean sheets so far this season.
Nicolas Jackson – Chelsea (5.1%)
Nicolas Jackson’s first season has been an up-and-down experience at Chelsea, though the Senegal striker has fired a respectable 12 goals in all competitions.
Jackson has registered nine goals in the Premier League, adding three assists, ahead of Chelsea’s home clash with Everton in GW33. Chelsea are unpredictable but Jackson is a guarantee of game time and chances, with no teammate having had a higher xG (13.39) than the 22-year-old this season.
The Blues also boast a formidable home record against this weekend’s opponents having not lost inside 90 minutes to Everton at Stamford Bridge since November 1994. Glenn Hoddle was the Chelsea manager at that time with Paul Rideout scoring the only goal for the Toffees.
Bruno Fernandes – Manchester United (9.9%)
Bruno Fernandes’s days as an FPL must have appear a long time ago but the Manchester United captain can certainly provide good value.
Owned by under 10% of managers at the time of writing, Fernandes faces Bournemouth this weekend before home clashes with relegation candidates Sheffield United and Burnley.
The Portugal international has scored three times in his last four Premier League appearances, while he leads the division for chances created and second for Expected Assists.
One to watch.
The technique from @B_Fernandes8 ????????
Bruno Fernandes’ strike against Liverpool was from 45 yards out – the furthest Premier League goal this season ???? pic.twitter.com/bxI3JMgxB7
— Premier League (@premierleague) April 10, 2024
Read – Eight talking points ahead of the Premier League weekend
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